Brandon Pfaadt
RHP
AZ
3
HRs Allowed
11.1%
HR Rate (Pool)
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
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HR/9 ?Home runs allowed per 9 innings. >1.5 elite-bad (homer-friendly), 1.2–1.5 above avg, <0.9 elite-good (HR-resistant).
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HR/FB ?Pitcher's HR-per-fly-ball rate. >15% elite homer-prone, 12–15% above avg, <8% homer-resistant. League avg ~12%.
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Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
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Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
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FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
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FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
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xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
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FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
11.1%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
27
Pool Matchups
3
HRs Allowed (Pool)
1
Top-15 Matchups
1
HRs to Top-15
11.1%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 16.7% | 1.5 | 98.9mph | 110.2mph | 22.7° | 399ft | Up +5.6pp |
| Last 15 | 27 | 3 | 3 | 11.1% | 1.0 | 98.8mph | 110.2mph | 22.7° | 399ft | Flat +0.0pp |
| Last 30 | 27 | 3 | 3 | 11.1% | 1.0 | 98.8mph | 110.2mph | 22.7° | 399ft | Flat +0.0pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
98.8
Avg Max EV
111.5
Max EV Allowed
14
Hard-Hit Proxy · 70.0%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
110.2
Avg HR EV
22.7°
Avg HR Launch
399
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Bryce Harper | 111.5mph | 111.5mph | 23° | 419ft | Yes |
| 2026-04-11 | Kyle Schwarber | 110.7mph | 110.7mph | 23° | 381ft | Yes |
| 2026-04-11 | Nick Castellanos | 105.0mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Bryson Stott | 102.5mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Brandon Marsh | 101.3mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Alec Bohm | 100.3mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Drake Baldwin | 108.4mph | 108.4mph | 22° | 398ft | Yes |
| 2026-04-05 | Michael Harris II | 102.7mph | · | · | · | · |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Kyle Schwarber | #1 | 71 | Citizens Bank Park | 110.7mph | 23.0° | 381.0ft |
| 2026-04-11 | Bryce Harper | #29 | 56 | Citizens Bank Park | 111.5mph | 23.0° | 419.0ft |
| 2026-04-05 | Drake Baldwin | #69 | 41 | Chase Field | 108.4mph | 22.0° | 398.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinker | 129 | 21.9% | +1.8 | 85.5 | -2.4° | 3 |
| Curveball | 122 | 20.7% | -1.0 | 80.4 | 9.0° | 1 |
| Fastball | 109 | 18.5% | +2.5 | 83.6 | 21.1° | 1 |
| Cutter | 86 | 14.6% | -2.5 | 83.3 | 15.7° | 0 |
| Sweeper | 85 | 14.4% | -0.5 | 80.9 | 27.5° | 0 |
| Changeup | 59 | 10.0% | +6.0 | 84.3 | 6.1° | 2 |
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Bryson Stott | #151 | 38 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-11 | J.T. Realmuto | #144 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Alec Bohm | #138 | 38 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Trea Turner | #114 | 41 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Nick Castellanos | #105 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Max Kepler | #52 | 49 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Brandon Marsh | #50 | 45 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Bryce Harper | #29 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-11 | Kyle Schwarber | #1 | 71 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-05 | Nick Allen | #250 | 5 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Ozzie Albies | #175 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Jurickson Profar | #124 | 37 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Austin Riley | #113 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Michael Harris II | #112 | 35 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Marcell Ozuna | #96 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Matt Olson | #84 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Drake Baldwin | #69 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-05 | Ronald Acuna Jr. | #32 | 48 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Gleyber Torres | #160 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Zach McKinstry | #146 | 35 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Javier Baez | #143 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Colt Keith | #140 | 35 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Wenceel Perez | #137 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Dillon Dingler | #133 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Spencer Torkelson | #92 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Kerry Carpenter | #76 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Riley Greene | #46 | 49 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |